The IRS recently announced that tax brackets would widen by nearly 7% for next tax year, to combat rapidly rising inflation. As a result of these and other changes made in an attempt to match the rising costs of groceries and other daily necessities, some Americans will find that when they file their 2023 tax returns, they may actually have lower tax bills than in the prior season. 

Due to these new, wider tax brackets, taxpayers whose incomes have not kept pace with inflation may find that more of their taxable earnings fall into lower groupings–and therefore will owe comparatively less tax when they file than those whose incomes have increased with inflation. 

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, consumer prices increased by around 8.2% in September compared to the same month last year, with grocery costs up by 13%. However, many workers have yet to see salary increases sufficient to keep up with inflation. In fact, in September, seasonally-adjusted average hourly wages decreased by 3% from the previous year.

According to the IRS, some 60 tax rules–including standard deductions for single and married taxpayers–will be adjusted to reflect these increased costs. Married couples’ standard deduction will increase by $1,800 to $27,700 from the prior year. For single filers, the standard deduction will be $1,3850–a $900 increase.

Marginal tax rates are also being updated for inflation. The lowest marginal tax rate of 10% now applies to single filers making $11,000 or less annually, which is up from $10,275. From $20,550 previously, couples can now earn $22,000 and still qualify for the 10% bracket. The qualifying transportation and parking benefit cap will increase by $20 to $300 per month. 

What modifications are anticipated for 2023?

This year’s inflation rate also impacts the adjustments the IRS will make for next tax season, so that taxpayers can plan for 2023. Kiplinger provides a good breakdown and explanation, as well as charts for each filing status and income range, for both 2022 and 2023.

Substantial changes to tax brackets

The top income limit for married couples filing jointly for the 12% tax bracket will increase from $83,550 in 2022 to $89,450 in 2023. This could prevent some taxpayers from falling into a higher tax rate (and potentially a higher bill). The standard deduction, a fixed amount taxpayers can utilize to lower their taxable income, is also anticipated to increase significantly. According to Wolters Kluwer, married couples filing jointly in 2023 may claim up to $27,700, an increase from $25,900 in 2022.

Additional tax credits and limits on tax-advantaged contributions

The Child Tax Credit was modified substantially by the Biden Administration for tax year 2021 and increased to $3,600 to support those with families struggling from the pandemic, but it’s reverting to $2,000 for this tax year (absent any last-minute tax extenders from Congress). That could lead to what is called “refund shock”–where expectations of large pandemic-related refunds are unsubstantiated.

The Earned Income Credit, which benefits lower-income working taxpayers, was expanded to include both younger and older taxpayers last year, a change that has been made permanent.

In some situations, increasing taxpayers’ contributions to certain tax-advantaged accounts can also reduce their taxable income. You can make an IRA contribution of up to $6,500 in 2023, up $500 from 2022–and those over 50 are allowed an additional catch-up contribution of $1,000. The contribution caps for 401(k) and other employer-sponsored retirement accounts will see significant hikes as well. People with health savings accounts (HSAs) may contribute up to $3,850 for individuals or $7,750 for a family in 2023. HSAs allow pre-tax contributions to pay for medical bills.

Conclusion

There is no assurance that tax bills will be lower, even though these changes may allow taxpayers to take a more generous standard deduction or put more money into accounts that could cut taxable income. This is because several things affect overall tax liability. Codification changes are intended to mitigate the effects of inflation; as a result, people whose earnings may not have kept pace with inflation may benefit, and others who did receive cost-of-living raises may at least avoid moving into a higher tax bracket. And a select number of us may be fortunate enough to pay less tax.

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About The Co-Author: Lyle Solomon has extensive legal experience as well as in-depth knowledge and experience in consumer finance and writing. He has been a member of the California State Bar since 2003. He graduated from the University of the Pacific’s McGeorge School of Law in Sacramento, California, in 1998, and currently works for the Oak View Law Group in California as a Principal Attorney.

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